The correct result of every Premier League gameweek 15 fixture revealed, according to statistics

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xg explains

With the help of expected goals, talkSPORT.com looks at how the midweek matches should have finished

We were treated to full round of Premier League fixtures this midweek, and there was action aplenty across Tuesday and Wednesday.

Manchester City and Liverpool had a great matchday with both teams picking up wins, while two of their closest challengers, Chelsea and Arsenal, dropped points.

It’s been a good week for Pep Guardiola and Jurgen Klopp

The Blues suffered a shock defeat at Wolves to fall down to fourth, with Tottenham’s win over Southampton moving Mauricio Pochettino’s side into third.

Arsenal could have overtaken Spurs if they picked up a victory against Manchester United, but the Gunners continued their historic struggles at Old Trafford with the final result a 2-2 draw.


But do the results we got reflect what actually happened in the matches we witnessed?

Find out below how every team performed compared to their expected goals in the 13th round of Premier League matches thanks to statistics from Understat.com…

What is expected goals?


Brighton vs Crystal Palace

Real result: 3-1
xG result: 1.27-1.48

Bournemouth vs Huddersfield

Real result: 2-1
xG result: 1.04-1.48

West Ham vs Cardiff

Real result: 3-1
xG result: 1.57-1.59

Watford vs Manchester City

Real result: 1-2
xG result: 1.67-2.52

Wolves vs Chelsea

Real result: 2-1
xG result: 0.68-1.47

Wolves overperformed their xG to claim a shock defeat of Chelsea

Wolves overperformed their xG to claim a shock defeat of Chelsea

Fulham vs Leicester

Real result: 1-1
xG result: 1.44-1.22

Burnley vs Liverpool

Real result: 1-3
xG result: 1.06-2.46

Everton vs Newcastle

Real result: 1-1
xG result: 2.11-1.38

Everton really should have turned their draw with Newcastle into a win

Everton really should have turned their draw with Newcastle into a win

Manchester United vs Arsenal

Real result: 2-2
xG result: 1.33-1.83

Tottenham vs Southampton

Real result: 3-1
xG result: 1.67-1.53

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