Alternative standings after 15 matches, based on expected goals

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We were treated to a full round of Premier League fixtures this midweek, and the results threw up some real questions.

Chelsea were on the end of a shock defeat at Wolves, while Manchester United dropped further points with Arsenal claiming a draw at Old Trafford.

Jesse Lingard grabbed the fourth goal of an exciting encounter at Old Trafford

Manchester City and Liverpool extended their unbeaten runs with wins over Watford and Burnley respectively, though both sides did not have it easy against the two out-of-form sides.

Elsewhere, there were victories for Bournemouth and West Ham, while Tottenham claimed a routine victory over Southampton, who will have Ralph Hasenhuttl in place as their new manager before they return to action this weekend.


But how has this changed the alternative Premier League table based on expected goals?

Here at talkSPORT.com we’re always keeping an eye on Understat.com to see how players and clubs are performing based on their xG stats.

Find out how the stats believe the Premier League SHOULD be shaping up below…

What is expected goals?


20. Burnley – real position = 19

Real points = 9 | Expected points = 9.20

19. Fulham – real position = 20

Real points = 9 | Expected points = 11.70

18. Newcastle – real position = 14

Real points = 14 | Expected points = 13.15

Newcastle have improved in recent weeks, but they need to continue getting better to avoid relegation

Newcastle have improved in recent weeks, but they need to continue getting better to avoid relegation

17. Brighton – real position = 10

Real points = 21 | Expected points = 13.67

16. Huddersfield – real position = 17

Real points = 10 | Expected points = 14.28

15. Cardiff – real position = 16

Real points = 11 | Expected points = 15.92

14. Southampton – real position = 18

Real points = 9 | Expected points = 17.17

13. West Ham – real position = 13

Real points = 18 | Expected points = 18.46

West Ham have established themselves in the middle of the table

West Ham have established themselves in the middle of the table

12. Crystal Palace – real position = 15

Real points = 12 | Expected points = 18.98

11. Manchester United – real position = 8

Real points = 23 | Expected points = 20.75

10. Everton – real position = 6

Real points = 23 | Expected points = 20.91

9. Arsenal – real position = 5

Real points = 31 | Expected points = 22.41

8. Leicester – real position = 9

Real points = 22 | Expected points = 22.49

7. Watford – real position = 11

Real points = 20 | Expected points = 22.51

Watford’s recent poor form has made up for them overperforming their xG earlier this season

Watford’s recent poor form has made up for them overperforming their xG earlier this season

6. Bournemouth – real position = 7

Real points = 23 | Expected points = 23.12

5. Wolves – real position = 12

Real points = 19 | Expected points = 24.06

4. Tottenham – real position = 3

Real points = 33 | Expected points = 25.52

3. Chelsea – real position = 4

Real points = 31 | Expected points = 30.92

Chelsea remain one of the best teams in the division despite two defeats in their last three matches

Chelsea remain one of the best teams in the division despite two defeats in their last three matches

2. Liverpool – real position = 2

Real points = 39 | Expected points = 31.74

1. Manchester City – real position = 1

Real points = 41 | Expected points = 38.57

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