Alternative Premier League table after 26 games, based on expected goals

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This is how stats experts think the Premier League table SHOULD look with almost two-thirds of the season gone

The top three all kept their title ambitions on track in the Premier League in another enthralling weekend of action.

Manchester City were the big winners, literally, as they thumped Chelsea 6-0 at the Etihad Stadium, meanwhile Tottenham Hotspur beat Leicester City 3-1 and Liverpool registered a 3-0 triumph over Bournemouth.

Aguero was in brilliant form against the sorry Blues

It’s getting even tighter at the bottom two as three points separate 13th place and 18th with Cardiff City registering a vital win over Southampton and Burnley defeating Brighton on Saturday night.

Cardiff boss Neil Warnock could not contain his excitement at full-time

Cardiff boss Neil Warnock could not contain his excitement at full-time

Here at talkSPORT.com we’re always keeping an eye on Understat.com to see how players and clubs are performing based on their xG stats.

Find out how the stats believe the Premier League SHOULD be shaping up below…

What is expected goals?

  • Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match.
  • Every single shot is awarded an xG value based on the difficulty of the attempt, with factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders present affecting the value.
  • The higher the xG of a particular shot, the more likely a goal should be scored from that shot.
  • The xG value of every shot in a game is then used to calculate the expected goals in a particular match.

20. Huddersfield Town – Real position = 20 

Real points = 11 | Expected points = 20.87

19. Newcastle United – Real position = 17*

Real points = 24 | Expected points = 22.18

Benitez is battling to keep Newcastle in the Premier League

Benitez is battling to keep Newcastle in the Premier League

18. Fulham – Real position = 19

Real points = 17 | Expected points = 24.70

17. Cardiff City – Real position = 16

Real points = 25 | Expected points = 26.03

16. Brighton and Hove Albion – Real position = 14

Real points = 27 | Expected points = 26.56

Chris Hughton’s Brighton are falling into a relegation scrap

Chris Hughton’s Brighton are falling into a relegation scrap

15. Burnley – Real position = 15

Real points = 27 | Expected points = 27.22

14. West Ham – Real position = 10

Real points = 33 | Expected points = 29.06

Pellegrini’s side were held to a draw by Crystal Palace

Pellegrini’s side were held to a draw by Crystal Palace

13. Southampton – Real position = 18

Real points = 24 | Expected points = 30.76

12. Everton – Real position = 9

Real points = 33 | Expected points = 33.83

It was not a happy return to Vicarage Road for Silva or Everton forward Richarlison

It was not a happy return to Vicarage Road for Silva or Everton forward Richarlison

11. Bournemouth – Real position = 11

Real points = 33 | Expected points = 33.89

10. Crystal Palace – Real position = 13

Real points = 27 | Expected points = 34.13

9. Watford – Real position = 8

Real points = 37 | Expected points = 36.02

Watford fans taunted Marco Silva with toy snakes during their victory over Everton

Watford fans taunted Marco Silva with toy snakes during their victory over Everton

8. Leicester City – Real position = 12

Real points = 32 | Expected points = 37.84

Puel and Leicester were left to rue their missed opportunities against Tottenham

Puel and Leicester were left to rue their missed opportunities against Tottenham

7. Wolverhampton Wanderers – Real position = 7* 

Real points = 38 | Expected points = 40.00

6. Arsenal – Real position = 5

Real points = 50 | Expected points = 40.47

Uani Emery’s Arsenal are currently in fifth spot in the Premier League

Uani Emery’s Arsenal are currently in fifth spot in the Premier League

5. Manchester United – Real position = 4

Real points = 51 | Expected points = 42.02

Anthony Martial celebrates scoring for Manchester United against Fulham.

Anthony Martial celebrates scoring for Manchester United against Fulham.

4. Tottenham Hotspur – Real position = 3

Real points = 60 | Expected points = 45.57

Moussa Sissoko insists Spurs can still win the Premier League this season

Moussa Sissoko insists Spurs can still win the Premier League this season

3. Chelsea – Real position = 6

Real points = 50 | Expected points = 49.04

Captain Cesar Azpilicueta goes to the travelling Chelsea fans after the game to apologise

Captain Cesar Azpilicueta goes to the travelling Chelsea fans after the game to apologise

2. Liverpool – Real position = 2

Real points = 65 | Expected points = 57.61

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp

1. Manchester City – Real position = 1

Real points = 65 | Expected points = 63.34

Pep Guardiola watched his team tear Chelsea apart on Sunday

Pep Guardiola watched his team tear Chelsea apart on Sunday

*Yet to play in Gameweek 26

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